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Repo Markets and Bitcoin - The Unexpected Hack

Repo Markets and Bitcoin - The Unexpected Hack

Jan 22, 2025
Bitcoin Brief

Repo Markets and Bitcoin - The Unexpected Hack

The Repo Markets Are Bitcoin's Next Big Accelerator: Why Credit Creation, Not Asset Rotation, May Drive BTC's Future

In a recent conversation I had with Nik Bhatia on the TFTC podcast he revealed a paradigm shift in how we should think about Bitcoin price appreciation. While many of us assumed Bitcoin's rise would come from investors selling traditional assets to buy BTC, Bhatia explains that bond investors are actually creating new money through repo market financing to purchase Bitcoin-related securities, particularly through vehicles like MicroStrategy's convertible notes.

"Flow is what matters and my whole thesis here is that Bitcoin getting to $20 trillion is not going to happen because there's several trillion of bonds being sold and then buying Bitcoin... It's going to be credit expansion." - Nik Bhatia

What makes this thesis particularly compelling is how the traditional financial system is essentially creating its own bridge to Bitcoin. As Bhatia detailed, bond funds can borrow against their existing holdings to finance new positions without selling assets. This means the flow into Bitcoin isn't constrained by the redistribution of existing wealth – it's being driven by credit expansion through established financial market mechanisms. MicroStrategy's convertible notes strategy has become the blueprint, demonstrating how this mechanism can work at scale. If performance of these convertible bonds continues you can expect demand to increase. Creating a flywheel for new credit creation flowing into bitcoin.

TLDR: Bond markets are creating new money for Bitcoin via repo financing & converts.

Check out the full podcast here for more on Trump & Bitcoin policy, sovereign reserves and MicroStrategy bonds.

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Chart of the Day

via Halving Tracker

2025-01-20, 23:59 UTC

276 days after halving

Current: $102,589.00

2012 scaled: $663,796.91

2016 scaled: $120,278.08

2020 scaled: $352,706.56

As it stands today, bitcoin price performance is underperforming past halving cycles, despite being right below all time highs. Signalling a lot of room for upside potential from here.

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Ray Dalio confirms he owns bitcoin - via CNBC

KULR Expands Bitcoin Holdings to 510 BTC, Reports 127% BTC Yield - via KULR press release

President Trump issued a FULL and UNCONDITIONAL pardon to Ross Ulbricht - via X

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/funds.

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TFTC is a media company focused on bitcoin, beauty and freedom in the digital age. TFTC stands for Truth for the Commoner.
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